Gains in Small Business Job Growth Continue in September

• Employment Picture Continues to Improve for Small Business, but Rates of Growth Have Slowed

National job growth continued to tick upward in September, according to aggregated payroll data of approximately 350,000 clients provided by Paychex. The data released in the latest report of the Paychex | IHS Markit Small Business Employment Watch shows the Small Business Jobs Index reached 99.95. The pace of small business employment growth improved throughout the summer, though monthly gains slowed considerably in August (0.45 percent) and in September (0.15 percent). Hourly earnings growth increased to 3.68 percent for the month, its fourth consecutive increase.

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“While the growth rate of the national jobs index has slowed over the past two months, the index is now close to 100, its highest level since mid-2017,” said James Diffley, chief regional economist at IHS Markit.

“With businesses continuing to recover from the impacts of the pandemic and the competitive employment landscape, we’re beginning to see wage pressures in certain industries,” said Martin Mucci, Paychex president and CEO. “The leisure and hospitality sector, with its many job openings across the country, is seeing the highest hourly earnings growth across all industries in September.”

In further detail, the September report showed:

• At 99.95, the national index has increased 5.84 percent during the past 12 months as small businesses continue to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.
• At $29.68 in September, hourly earnings have improved by $1.05 from a year ago. This is the first time that year-over-year gains reached one dollar since reporting began ten years ago.
• Five metros, Los Angeles, Riverside, Denver, Atlanta, and Tampa recorded wage gains above four percent in September.
• Hourly earnings growth in Leisure and hospitality has increased to 8.14 percent, highest among industry sectors.
• Texas overtook Arizona for the lead among states in job growth, at 102.90.
• At 104.06, Dallas leads metro small business jobs growth, jumping 1.18 percent in September and 2.85 percent during the past quarter.
• The construction sector now has the second weakest jobs index (98.57) and the lowest 12-month growth rate (0.84 percent).

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Paychex business solutions reach 1 in 12 American private-sector employees, making the Small Business Jobs Index report an industry benchmark. The national jobs index uses a 12-month same-store methodology to gauge small business employment trends on a national, regional, state, metro, and industry basis.

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The complete results for September, including interactive charts detailing all data, are available at www.paychex.com/watch. Highlights are available below.

National Jobs Index

• The pace of small business employment growth improved each summer month, though gains have slowed considerably in August (0.45 percent) and September (0.15 percent).
• At 99.95, the national index has gained a record high 5.84 percent during the past 12 months as small businesses continue to recover from the coronavirus pandemic.
• While the index is recovering from the impacts of the pandemic, the national index remains a full point below its 2012-2016 peaks.

National Wage Report

• Hourly earnings growth increased to 3.68 percent in September, its fourth consecutive increase.
• At $29.68 in September, hourly earnings have improved by $1.05 from a year ago. This is the first time that year-over-year gains reached one dollar since reporting began ten years ago.
• Due to reduced weekly hours worked, weekly earnings growth (2.75 percent) is nearly one percent lower than hourly earnings growth (3.68 percent).

Regional Jobs Index

• At 100.53, the West surged 0.53 percent from the previous month, 2.32 percent during the past quarter, and 7.48 percent during the past year, all equating to the best change rates among regions.
• The South leads all regions in small business employment growth with an index of 100.77.
• Besides the West, all other regions showed little movement in September.

Regional Wage Report  

• Hourly earnings growth in the West reached 4.03 percent in September, best among regions and the tenth consecutive increase.
• Weekly hours worked are down 1.28 percent from last year in the Northeast, which is approximately twice the drop in hours worked compared to the other three regions.

State Jobs Index

• Texas is now the top state for small business employment growth, overtaking Arizona.
• California, Texas, and New York led one-month gains among states with increases of at least 0.57 percent in September.
• Gaining 4.29 percent during the past quarter, Washington is now in the top 10 among states for the first time in two years with an index of 99.51.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest states based on U.S. population.

State Wage Report

• Led by North Carolina at 4.41 percent hourly earnings growth, four of the top five states for hourly earnings growth are in the South (Georgia, Florida, Tennessee).
• Texas is the only state with positive weekly hours worked growth (0.28 percent) in September.
• At 4.15 percent, Georgia leads states in weekly earnings growth, though September is the first month in 2021 where growth slowed.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest states based on U.S. population.

Metropolitan Jobs Index 

• At 104.06, Dallas leads metro small business jobs growth, jumping 1.18 percent in September and 2.85 percent during the past quarter.
• Dallas and San Diego both had employment gains of more than one percent in September.
• Small business employment growth in Seattle (99.49) has increased 10.02 percent during the past year, best among metros.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest metro areas based on U.S. population.

Metropolitan Wage Report

• Five metros, Los Angeles, Riverside, Denver, Atlanta, and Tampa recorded wage gains over four percent.
• Denver is among the top three metros in both earnings and hours worked growth.
• Baltimore ranks last among metros in both hourly and weekly earnings growth, both under two percent.

Note: Analysis is provided for the 20 largest metro areas based on U.S. population.

Industry Jobs Index

• At 102.23 and up 3.86 percent during the past quarter, the leisure and hospitality jobs index ranks first among sectors for the first time since 2012.
• Construction has the second weakest jobs index (98.57) and the lowest 12-month growth rate (0.84 percent) among sectors.
• Financial activities is the only sector with a negative three-month growth rate, -0.06 percent.

Note: Analysis is provided for seven major industry sectors. Definitions of each industry sector can be found here. The other services (except public administration) industry category includes religious, civic, and social organizations, as well as personal services, including automotive and household repair, salons, drycleaners, and other businesses.

Industry Wage Report 

• The Leisure and hospitality sector continues to outperform all other sectors in earnings growth, at 8.14 percent.
• All sectors have negative weekly hours worked growth.
• Education and health services has hourly earnings growth (2.64 percent) near the bottom of sectors.

Note: Analysis is provided for seven major industry sectors. Definitions of each industry sector can be found here. The other services (except public administration) industry category includes religious, civic, and social organizations, as well as personal services, including automotive and household repair, salons, drycleaners, and other businesses.