The stock price has dropped by 23%, while the market has gone up by about 20%. Recently, the decline has sped up, with a 10% drop in the last three months.
For many people who invest in stocks, the goal is to make more money than the overall market. However, sometimes, certain stocks don’t perform as well as expected. Unfortunately, that’s been the case for investors in Randstad N.V. over the past three years. The stock price has dropped by 23%, while the market has gone up by about 20%. Recently, the decline has sped up, with a 10% drop in the last three months.
Now, let’s take a look at the company’s basics and see if the long-term returns for shareholders match how well the business is doing.
Warren Buffett, in his essay “The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville,” talked about how stock prices don’t always reflect a company’s true value. By comparing how much a company earns per share (EPS) and changes in its stock price over time, we can understand how investors feel about the company.
Even though Randstad’s stock price has been falling for three years, its EPS has been getting better, increasing by 29% each year. This is puzzling and suggests there might be something propping up the stock price temporarily. Or maybe, in the past, people had unrealistically high expectations for the company’s growth.
Since the increase in EPS doesn’t seem to match the drop in the stock price, it’s worth looking at other measures.
The company’s dividend seems to be doing fine so that probably isn’t causing the drop in the stock price. It’s good that Randstad has been making more money over the last three years. But it’s not clear why the stock price is down. It might be a good idea to dig deeper into the basics, just in case there’s an opportunity we’re missing.
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Randstad is a well-known company, and many smart analysts have tried to predict how much money it will make in the future. Since we have a lot of analyst forecasts, it might be worth looking at a chart showing what most analysts think.
It’s also important to think about the total return for shareholders, not just the change in the stock price. Total shareholder return (TSR) includes both the change in the stock price and any dividends paid. For Randstad, the TSR over the last three years is -3.8%, which is worse than the drop in the stock price we mentioned earlier. The dividends paid by the company have helped make up for some of the losses in the stock price.
Looking at things from a different perspective, Randstad shareholders are down 1.1% for the year, even with dividends included, while the market is up 22%. Even good stocks can have their prices go down sometimes, but we want to see improvements in how well the company is doing before we get too interested. For investors who’ve been in it for the long haul, though, they’ve made an average of 5% each year over the past five years. If the company keeps growing steadily, this current drop in the stock price might be a chance to buy low. It’s always important to keep an eye on how a stock performs over the long term.
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